I guess as I started doing it last time I'll keep track of my 2/4 results on here. I've now played 4257 hands and I'm running at 2.79BB/100. Here's one hand from my last session that confused me:
I don't get it.
This was the weirdest hand of my session, and I'm still not sure of the best way to have played it. The BB was playing really tight, and I wasn't really sure what part of his cold-calling range hit this flop hard enough for him to have me beat. I guessed he could have TT or low diamonds, but I really wasn't sure. I also didn't think he'd min c/r a low diamond draw here as it really didn't make much sense. I make a call on the flop and he leads 2/3 pot ish on the turn. I thought for a long while here about what to do. If I shove, I think I'm only ever getting called if I'm behind. Maybe he calls AQ or AJ (particularly with a diamond) though. In the end I decided to call and fold to a river shove as the bet on the river was still going to be a significant portion of the pot. A 4th diamond falls and he leads tiny. This was really confusing to me. The only hand that really made sense was a low flush that was scared of the 4th diamond, however I didn't think he played the low flush draws like that on the flop. I thought TT was still a possibility, but this line just didn't make any sense to me in general. I decided to call - I think I'm behind a reasonable amount, but I wanted to see what this fucker had anyway as I had position on him for the session. I was very confused.
WOW
1 hour ago
2 comments:
Assuming he is really tight, I'd say he reraises KK,AA always preflop. So as you deduce TT is the only set he is likely to have in his range.
I also think QJ is a very unlikely holding given preflop tightness.
If he is really very tight then I'd assume his range to be somewhat along the lines of JJ,AQ,TT, AJs.
When I first saw the hand my first instinct was to reraise the flop here 100%, then I thought about it and I still think its a reraise. There are a lot of action killing turn cards, a Q, a J, a diamond and I think his range is wide enough so I'd play it fast for value and hope he doesn't show me better.
I think you're overanalyzing the river, and it's a pretty easy fold.
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