Yesterday's hand analysed

I decided to look at the hand from yesterday further in this blog. I'm hoping I'll remain motivated enough to analyse tricky hands fully in here as it's so beneficial for me. I can't find a good converter to use for this purpose, so if anyone knows of one please leave me the link.

$400.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, July 23, 09:10:06 ET 2009
Seat 5 is the button
Seat 1: heel012 ( $492.30 USD )
Seat 2: GuyNextDoor ( $435.00 USD )
Seat 3: DODGY ( $573.20 USD )
Seat 4: Sfurtherz ( $439.30 USD )
Seat 5: FISH ( $369.50 USD )
Seat 6: REG ( $400.00 USD )
REG posts small blind [$2.00 USD].
heel012 posts big blind [$4.00 USD].

** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to DODGY [ Ah Th ]
GuyNextDoor folds
DODGY raises [$14.00 USD]
Sfurtherz folds
FISH calls [$14.00 USD]
REG calls [$12.00 USD]
heel012 folds

** Dealing Flop ** [ Qs, 8c, Ac ]
REG checks
DODGY bets [$34.00 USD]
FISH calls [$34.00 USD]
REG calls [$34.00 USD]

** Dealing Turn ** [ 3h ]
REG checks
DODGY bets [$110.00 USD]
FISH folds
REG raises [$352.00 USD]
DODGY calls [$242.00 USD]

Hands the regular will overcall in the SB will be something like {AQ, AJ, AXs, KQ, KJ, KTs, QJs, QTs, JTs, J9s, T9s-65s, TT-22}. He plays around 24/19 so I got the feeling he'd be more inclined to flat than squeeze in this spot with a lot of playable hands. However, I do think he'll be squeezing hands like AQo, AJo, KQo, TT sometimes.

Assuming that he doesn't turn a hand like KhQd into a bluff on the turn, what hands are strong enough to crai for value or as a semibluff? I would say {AQ, A8s, 88, KQcc, KJcc, QJcc, QTcc, JTcc, J9cc, T9cc}.

If his flop call and turn crai range consists of 100% of those combinations, I have 31.6% equity against his range on the turn. I need 28.4% equity to call.

Given that I think he'll squeeze AQo types sometimes, and I think he's more likely to check raise a two pair+ hand on the flop than a draw (even a combo draw - I bet into two people on a wet board and a fish called, he doesn't have that much fold equity), I think this is definitely a call. There's also a chance he makes this play with KQ sometimes (although he should fold the flop with that normally), and he could occasionally do it with 76cc or 65cc.